Hit and Run: Yanks Not Mad at A-Rod, Coke Mad at Yanks, Johnson's Back

March 6, 2010

Here is an update on a story we heard yesterday, but an ex-Yankee might be mad at the team, and an update on Nick Johnson’s bad back.

Whether the Yankees are mad at A-Rod or not, but at least publicly they are now behind him which is a good thing. He’s a Yankee and he’s going to be a Yankee for a long time. Whatever happened in the past or in the future, the best thing for both the organization and A-Rod is to hash it out behind closed doors and that seems to be what they are doing now.

As for Phil Coke, he’s a reliever and he didn’t exactly have a great season in 2009, sometimes you get traded. It’s nothing personal and he should know that. Baseball players get traded, even Alex Rodriguez got traded.

“When it hits you in the face, it’s a tough thing to swallow. You get angry,” Coke said. “At first, it’s like the grieving process with the five stages. First, you get upset and you cry blah, blah, blah. I didn’t shed any tears, but I was left wondering: What did I do? Did I make somebody mad?

“I was totally expecting being with the Yankees in spring training this year,” Coke said.”I didn’t have any reason to believe otherwise, and I wasn’t given one, either.”

He’ll get over it.

As for Nick Johnson, some people are trying to blow this off as nothing and some people are blowing it out of proportion. It’s important to keep in mind that this isn’t nothing, he’s missing four games. He wouldn’t be doing that if he were healthy. But it’s just spring training, the sky is not falling.

The Yankees do need to keep in mind that Johnson isn’t exactly the epitome of health and plan accordingly. This means that when it comes to the Marcus Thames vs. Jamie Hoffmann, they need to anticipate that whoever wins that job may get more playing time than they anticipate. If they think one of them couldn’t handle the situation the other should have a leg up on the job.


Former Yankees in Pictures

February 27, 2010

I was checking some new pictures of former Yankees. They look pretty weird so I thought I’d pass them along. Apparently the Yankees were keeping a lot of players from growing facial hair, especially Jason Giambi.

We’ve got Johnny Damon in a Detroit Tigers uniform:

(photo by: AP Photo).

Austin Jackson in a Detroit Tigers uniform (I like Granderson, but it is a real shame we didn’t see AJax more in the Pinstripes):

(photo by: Getty).

Ian Kennedy as a Arizona Diamondback:

(Photo by: Getty).

Phil Coke in a Tigers uniform:

(Photo by: Getty).

Hideki Matsui in an Angels uniform:

(Photo by: Getty).

Melky Cabrera in a Atlanta Braves uniform:

(Photo by: Getty).

Chien-Ming Wang as a Washington National:

(Photo by: Reuters).

Jose Molina in a Toronto Blue Jays uniform:

(Photo by: Reuters).

Jerry Hairston Jr in San Diego Padres gear:

(Photo by: AP Photo).

Bonus – Jason Giambi in a Colorado Rockies uniform:

(Photo by: Getty).

Bonus – Alphonso Soriano in a Cubs uniform:

(Photo by: Getty).


The 2009 Bullpen in Historical and Statistical Perspective

February 20, 2010

Following up on my comparison between the terrific 2009 rotation with those of the late 1990s, this post assesses the sterling 2009 bullpen and gauges its performance along side the late 1990s dynasty. As with the rotation, the 2009 bullpen compares rather favorably with most years, including the tremendous 1998 team. As with last week’s post, I maintained a similar criteria with a couple important addenda: saves, which to a degree are overrated (see Joe Borowski’s and Todd Jones’s respective numbers for further elucidation, two players for whom sabermetricians ought to invent a category I’ve dubbed the NBS, the Nearly-Blown Save); and batting average against (BAA). The latter especially complements the seminal WHIP statistic to illustrate bullpen effectiveness in keeping batters faced off the bases, for relievers, unlike starters, frequently start stints with inherited runners. They’re not just trying to get batters out but often to stanch rallies.

Year W-L & Rank (by %) ERA & Rank IP & Rank K/9 & Rank WHIP & Rank Saves & Rank BAA & Rank
2009 40-17 (2) 3.91 (4) 515 (2) 8.4 (2) 1.250 (1) 51 (T-2) .231 (1)
1996 25-21 (5) 4.10 (5) 518 1/3 (1) 8.8 (1) 1.385 (5) 52 (1) .251 (4)
1997 24-24 (6) 3.22 (1) 450 1/3 (4) 7.8 (3) 1.339 (4) 51 (T-2) .243 (2)
1998 28-9 (1) 3.76 (2) 395 1/3 (6) 5.9 (6) 1.293 (2) 48 (5) .252 (5)
1999 27-14 (3) 3.77 (3) 437 (5) 6.9 (5) 1.309 (3) 50 (4) .247 (3)
2000 22-16 (4) 4.52 (6) 459 2/3 (3) 7.0 (4) 1.447 (6) 40 (6) .257 (6)

Why 2009’s bullpen is the best of the bunch: Based on the above criteria, the 2009 Yankees stand out as the strongest, most consistent bullpen. They did the best job keeping batters off the bases (WHIP and BAA), had strong strikeout ability, played a bigger role in the decisions than their predecessors with 40 wins, and had a good ERA (fifth-best in the AL) despite logging 515 innings—far more than any of the rest except the 1996 championship team. In sum, they delivered great results despite the fact that more was asked of them than most other teams. Stocked with the steadily great Mariano Rivera (3-3, 1.76 ERA, 66 1/3 IP, 0.905 WHIP, 9.8 K/9, 44 saves), the 2009 Yankees also sported a top-notch set-up man in Phil Hughes who, after starting 7 games, shifted to the bullpen and blew batters away at a rate reminiscent of Joba Chamberlain in 2007 (12.8 K/9). Realizing a precipitous jump in his fastball’s velocity into the 95-96 range, Hughes fanned batters at a rate of 11.4 K/9 with a WHIP of 0.857 in 51 1/3 IP as a reliever, proving unhittable for long stretches (31 hits allowed).  Particularly tough on righties (.184 BAA/.235 OBP), Hughes at times struggled against lefties, allowing a considerably higher batting (.257) and OBP (.348). He was hard hit in the playoffs as well. But overall, he made Yankees fans quickly forget injured and often inconsistent set-up man Brian Bruney with his outstanding work.

In addition to the dynamic duo of Mariano and Hughes, the Yankees had a deep bullpen last season. Phil Coke was traded to Detroit in the three-way deal that brought Curtis Granderson to The Bronx, and had his struggles down the stretch, limping into post-season baseball with a 4-3 record but an inflated 4.50 ERA with 10 homers allowed, tied for the most among Yankee relievers. Yet it is important to remember that, for several months, Coke was not just the only viable lefty bullpen option, but a very good one at that. With Damaso Marte shelved with a sore shoulder, Coke was very good through June and July before struggling through a brutal August (2-0, 11.17 ERA, 1.655 WHIP, .308 BAA), the one reliable lefty reliever for most of the year. Marte will need to fill Coke’s shoes to round out the 2010 bullpen. Coke was aggressive, challenging batters on both sides of the plate by using both sides of the plate to keep them off the bases.

As I discussed in his 2010 preview, Alfredo Aceves was tremendous, going 10-1 with a good 3.54 ERA and an outstanding 1.012 WHIP. Crucially, Ace was excellent against both lefties (.212) and righties (.228), and his capacity to work multiple innings was reminiscent of Ramiro Mendoza. David Robertson also provided solid relief (2-1, 3.30 ERA, 1.351 WHIP), and his sneaky-fast fastball and sick yakker allowed him to fan a phenomenal 63 in just 43 2/3 IP (13.0 K/9). Robertson was never more clutch than his amazing escape act in the top of the 11th of Game 2 of the ALDS. After allowing a single to Cuddyer to load the bases with no outs, Robertson set down Young, Gomez, and Harris to keep the game tied at three, before Mark Teixeira crushed a laser to left for the game-winner homer to lead off the bottom of the 11th.  He has lots of promise, and should see considerable action setting up for Mariano.

It is important to remember the particular conditions under which the ’09 pen labored—an entirely ineffective and eventually injured Chien-Ming Wang, two young starters in Chamberlain and Hughes, and at times brief stints from fill-ins Sergio Mitre and Chad Gaudin—all of whom combined to leave the back end of the rotation in a state of flux for most of the season. The result, from ineffectiveness, injury, and innings caps, was a much heavier workload than one would wish. Yet they thrived under such conditions—for the second year in a row, for the ’08 bullpen was also a strength of the underachieving ’08 Yanks (logging an astronomical 543 1/3 IP, second in the AL, sporting an AL-best 8.7 K/9, a 3.79 ERA, the third-best BAA at .235 and WHIP at 1.270). That certainly carried over to last season, albeit with some players in more prominent roles, especially Hughes, Robertson, and Coke.

Why 1997 ranks second: Anchored by Mariano (6-4, 1.88 ERA, 43 saves, 1.186 WHIP)—as the Yankees’ bullpens have been since 1996—the ’97 Yankees also had the ever-flexible Mendoza (8-6, 4.24 ERA, 1.384 WHIP in 133 2/3 IP starting and relieving), and a tough slew of set-up men in sidewinder Jeff Nelson (3-7, 2.86 ERA, 1.144 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 77 games), and the lefty tandem of Mike Stanton (6-1, 2.56 ERA, 1.260 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 64 games) and Graeme (“The Albatross,” courtesy of my boy Frank the Sage) Lloyd (1-1, 3.31 ERA, 1.531 WHIP). Although they sported the worst winning percentage of the lot (.500), they had the best ERA (3.22), the second-best BAA (.243), and the third-best K/9 ratio (7.8). They were a tough, well-rounded group that didn’t yield much to opponents.

Commonalities of Greatness

Mariano: It is simply impossible to over-estimate how central Mariano has been to the Yankees’ success by anchoring the bullpen; all else flows from him. Good set-up work means all the more for the Yankees, for Mariano is as close to a sure thing among closers as there has ever been, or will be. He has for the most part remained healthy, and has been consistently great year in and year out—actually lowering his career ERA and WHIP with great and efficient work in the last decade. Thus, the essential ingredient of the bullpen for the Yankees hasn’t changed one whit for 15 seasons now. That’s an incredible privilege.

The K: Unlike with my comparative assessment of the rotations, in which I somewhat diverged from Tom Verducci’s emphasis on the K from alpha starters, the ability of relievers to fan batters in late innings has been fundamental to the Yankees’ success—and I wholeheartedly approve. While regular reader smurfy made a very good comment on the prior (starters) post about ground balls and double-plays over the K with which I agreed, there is a particular value to having good-morning, good-afternoon, and good-night hardball throwers out of the pen, especially since they often enter and must escape jams. The K is a great solution, the ultimate equalizer for relievers. Many of these championship teams, and the best bullpens from those years, could do just that and at a prodigious rate.

Preventing Overwork: This is important for particular players but also for the unit. Joe Girardi has proven far more adept at apportioning relief work than his eventual Hall-of-Fame predecessor, Joe Torre. Girardi has illustrated his gift for detailed preparation for games and players by employing a system with Dave Eiland in which each reliever’s work is charted on index cards, preventing pitchers from being worked into the ground.  This also has its roots in Girardi displaying trust in more and younger relievers than Torre did, with the beneficial result of cultivating and utilizing the considerable depth the Yankees have stockpiled in recent years.

Depth and Flexibility: Related to this approach and the organization’s wealth of pitching talent, this has rendered parts of middle relief interchangeable, with middle relievers who did not perform, such as Jose Veras, Edwar Ramirez, and Jonathan Albaladejo shifted out in favor of Hughes, Robertson, and Coke last year. Despite his renowned reticence about young relievers, Torre too sported and used his depth, with Nelson, Mendoza, Stanton, and for a couple years Lloyd proving very reliable as well as durable. The ability to shorten games has been a Yankees formula for success in no small part because of Torre and how he used his bullpen talent.

They also had players who could work multiple innings (Aceves more recently, Mendoza during the dynasty), and at least one effective lefty who wasn’t just a LOOGY (Coke in ’09, Stanton and Lloyd in the late 1990s).

For 2010, the Yankees’ bullpen would be well served by having its innings cut considerably from the last two years which, combined, saw them log 1,058 1/3 IP. That’s a lot, has ranked the Yanks second and fifth in 2008 and 2009, respectively, and is pushing the envelope of the unit regardless of Girardi’s workload management and overall trust. It would also stay strong should Marte fill Coke’s shoes, especially with a comparable WHIP to Coke’s stellar 1.067—an illustration of the importance of WHIP, which helps explain his effectiveness despite a somewhat high 4.50 ERA. Robertson’s continued development into a strong set-up man with strikeout ability would also put the Yanks in good stead, as would Mark Melancon doing in ’10 what Robertson did in ’09—add depth in middle relief and fan batters with a good fastball and curve. Whoever is not the fifth starter between Hughes and Joba, presumably the primary set-up man for Mariano, needs to keep up the good, aggressive work. With these developments, good health, and of course the greatest of all time lurking and waiting for his Metallica serenade, the Yankees should continue to sport one of the best bullpens in the majors.


Tell Us What You Think of the Granderson Trade

December 8, 2009

vote-or-dieAs you’ve probably heard by now the Yankees have traded Austin Jackson, Ian Kennedy, and Phil Coke for Curtis Granderson. Whether or not this is a good deal we can not say for sure until the three prospects the Yankees dealt reach, or fail to reach, their potential. That hasn’t stopped everyone from having an opinion good or bad.

Personally I have mixed emotions on the deal. Part of me is excited that the Yankees have their first legit center fielder, so what if he’s going to have to occasionally be benched against tough lefties, since Bernie Williams. Sure he has shortcomings, but to me Jackson’s potential is Granderson, I don’t care about Kennedy, and I don’t really like Coke.

There is another part of me that loves watching prospects. It was only recently that I thought he would be watching Austin Jackson for the next 15  years, followed Kennedy since the minute he was drafted, and had a great time watching Coke as he went from a long shot lefty starter to an important piece of the 2009 pen.

That’s just how I feel. Vote in our poll on the left sidebar or explain your thoughts in our comments section.


Proposed 3-Way Granderson Trade and Other Thoughts

December 8, 2009

First is the reported three team trade being discussed by the Diamondbacks, Tigers, and our Yankees. The basics of the deal include the Yankees losing Ian Kennedy, Mike Dunn, Phil Coke, and Austin Jackson. The Yankees would get centerfielder Curtis Granderson from the Tigers and two prospects from the Diamondbacks. The D-Backs would get Edwin Jackson while sending Max Scherzer and others to the Tigers.

My thoughts on the deal are as follows: if those prospects from the Diamondbacks are good, you do the trade. If not, pull back and work on a deal with the Tigers. I’m not a huge Curtis Granderson fan because of his recent regression and struggles against left-handed pitching, but for the right price, he’s a good guy to have. He’s still relatively young and his contract is also pretty team friendly. He could, like Nick Swisher be a big bounce back candidate. His position is also something to take into consideration. He can patrol CF well and would be a good option for the next few years, considering his age.

However, if the prospects for the Diamondbacks are not very good, then the Yankees should pass on this trade. They’re giving up an awful lot and getting just Granderson back is not enough. The prospects, preferably one pitcher and one hitter, would have to be at least close to ML ready for this deal to make sense. Obviously, we’ll monitor the situation as it goes. What do you guys think?

Second, Mike Axisa at River Ave. Blues ran down some of the candidates the Yankees could take in the Rule V Draft. It’s a good write up so make sure you take a look.

Finally, via MLBTR, the Angels have apparently expressed interest in DH and “OF” Hideki Matsui. Obviously, this strengthens Matsui’s position in negotiations as he has at least one alternative to the Yankees. If I had to guess, I’d say Matsui will end up back in the Bronx next season, though he could be a good fit for the Angels who are losing Vladimir Guerrero. The Angels would be better served going after a real outfielder so they could shift Bobby Abreu and his 2009 -12.1 UZR/150 mark out of right field.


Yankees Involved in Three Way Trade Rumors

December 8, 2009

According to Jon Paul Morosi and Ken Rosenthal of Fox Sports, the Yankees spent a good amount of time yesterday discussing a three team deal that net them outfielder Curtis Granderson, but would force them to give up outfielder Austin Jackson, right-handed pitcher Ian Kennedy, and lefties Phil Coke and Michael Dunn.

curtis-granderson-yankeesThe other two teams in the deal would be Detroit, obviously, and the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Tigers would be getting righty Max Scherzer from Arizona, Jackson, Dunn, and Coke from the Yankees. Also, the Diamondbacks would be getting Kennedy from the Yanks and Edwin Jackson from the Tigers. There would also be some undisclosed prospects changing hands with as many as two Arizona prospects coming to the Bronx.

When the day ended talks were said to be at an impasse with little possibility of them resuming. It seems like the Diamondbacks are the only ones who were really interested in making that deal (no shit, they are barely giving up anyone). Joel Sherman of the NY Post reported that the Tigers were never really satisfied with the trade talks and Sports Illustrated’s Jon Heyman said the Yankees are also wary of giving up so many prospects.

Despite the fact that talks were supposed to be dead last night, the three teams are back at it today according to Morosi. But he added two hours later that chances of a deal are, “not good.”

Most recently Buster Olney of ESPN was giving an on-air update on Sportscenter (sorry, no link) and said that while talks are still on-going they remain doubtful, but said that they are working on different ways to get a deal done. He mentioned that it could be that Edwin Jackson could also be going to the Yankees.

Yankees general manager Brian Cashman said yesterday that his priorities were, “pitching, pitching, and pitching.” So it seems odd that he would be involved in a deal that be sending away three pitchers (all of whom were expected to be a part of the 2010 Yankees’ bullpen) just a day after trading another bullpen piece in Brian Bruney.

If the deal changes where they are the ones who end up with Edwin Jackson that does change things as it leaves either Joba Chamberlain or Phil Hughes to pitch out of the pen.


What Will the Bullpen Look Like without Bruney?

December 7, 2009

Hard throwing right handed pitcher Brian Bruney was traded to the Washington Nationals today in exchange for Washington’s first pick in the upcoming Rule V Draft. With the exit of Phil Hughes from the bullpen into the rotation, the Yankee bullpen appears to have some holes. This is something with which I disagree.

Starting at the top is the one and only Mariano Rivera. Do I really need to go on? No, I don’t; keep reading.

For the set up role, the Yankees have two main options: the left-handed Damaso Marte and the right-handed David Robertson. For the first time in his short Yankee career, Damaso Marte looks to be healthy for an entire year. Marte showed everyone that he is the man the Yankees thought they were trading for when they got him in 2008. A healthy Damaso is a successful Damaso. In 2010, hopefully he’ll be healthy all year and he can perform at the high level at which he’s performed for his entire career.

Robertson took very big steps in 2009 to become an option that Joe Girardi trusted. I expect these steps to continue. Robertson’s got a great two pitch combination that is perfect for the bullpen and if he improves his control just a teensy weensy little bit, he could be one of the top relievers in all of baseball.

So, if I had to put the 2010 bullpen together right now, I think it would look like this:
–Rivera
–Marte (L)
–Robertson
–Coke (L)
–Aceves
–Gaudin
–Melancon

The late inning relievers–Rivera, Robertson, Marte–look to be very strong. If Phil Coke can just manage to keep the home runs down, he’ll be a very effective lefty. Girardi, however, should definitely be cautious when dealing with Coke and right handed batters. His splits last year weren’t fantastic and Coke should stick to left handeded batters.

Alfredo Aceves and Chad Gaudin are both relievers who have incredibly valuable ability to pitch multiple innings. In a baseball world modeled after Tony LaRussa/match-up style, it’s nice to see guys who don’t need to be replaced after just one inning. Another option to consider is Ian Kennedy. He’s clearly above the heads of AAA players and there likely won’t be a spot for him in the rotation. In the bullpen, he can get consistent Major League work and bring his arm back up to strength after missing most of 2009.

Mark Melancon is one of the top relief pitching prospects in the Yankee organization. He returned mixed results to the big league club in ’09. The 3.86 ERA was nice, but he had major control issues, allowing 5.51 BB/9. He didn’t give up any homers in his 16.1 innings and a 4.44 FIP is something upon which to build. I see 2010 Melancon in a situation much like the 2008 and early 2009 version(s) of David Robertson. He’ll get action in low leverage situations until he proves he’s ready for bigger and better things.

Without Brian Bruney, the Yankees will still be more than okay in the bullpen. As it’s been for the last two years, it should be a strength for the Yankees in 2010.


Future Uncertain for Hughes

November 30, 2008

After the Yankees season ended manager Joe Girardi said there were only two guarantees for their rotation next season, Joba Chamberlain and Chien-Ming Wang, now it’s December and that is just as true as when he first said it.

Phil Hughes as Tinman.

Phil Hughes as Tinman.

It is a totally different story from one year ago when the Bombers penciled Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy into the rotation after resisting trading them for Johan Santana. Today they are making offers and are looking into acquiring pitchers like CC Sabathia, AJ Burnett, and Derek Lowe to keep from making the same mistake again.

In an interview with the Daily News, Hughes himself was unsure what the future holds for him.

“It’s just one of those wait-and-see things,” Hughes said from his family’s Southern California home. “We’ll sign whoever we sign this winter, and I’ll go to spring training with the same attitude that I always do. I don’t worry about the things I can’t control.”

It appears the Yankees would prefer to sign three free agents and let Hughes compete for a spot as a sixth starter. Even if they were able to add three free agents including Andy Pettitte he has competition. Alfredo Aceves showed he could be a major leaguer, Phil Coke also will get an opportunity to prove himself and there is always Ian Kennedy.

Hughes realizes that he must improve or get held back and is working to improve his game. After finishing the season with less than 100 innings pitched he went to the AFL to work on some things.

“I was there for the innings, but at the same time, I didn’t want to go out and get walloped every time I took the mound,” Hughes said. “I worked on some things, got my innings in and was pretty successful at the same time.

“My slider wasn’t working at all,” Hughes said. “I worked a lot this fall on my cutter and my changeup, and both have come a long way.”